Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.006720 0.007518 0.008388 0.009409 0.010577 0.011876 0.013433
2025-03-16 0.005230 0.006264 0.007483 0.009038 0.010982 0.013350 0.016480
2025-03-23 0.004520 0.005661 0.007080 0.008994 0.011537 0.014842 0.019529
2025-03-30 0.004189 0.005445 0.007079 0.009389 0.012625 0.017075 0.023796
2025-04-06 0.003700 0.004950 0.006633 0.009105 0.012716 0.017915 0.026184
2025-04-13 0.003317 0.004550 0.006261 0.008858 0.012798 0.018708 0.028564
2025-04-20 0.003065 0.004303 0.006070 0.008838 0.013189 0.019981 0.031842
2025-04-27 0.002932 0.004213 0.006090 0.009125 0.014069 0.022105 0.036817
2025-05-04 0.002738 0.004010 0.005920 0.009091 0.014420 0.023393 0.040523
2025-05-11 0.002587 0.003861 0.005815 0.009145 0.014912 0.024964 0.044969
2025-05-18 0.002421 0.003671 0.005629 0.009043 0.015116 0.026039 0.048621
2025-05-25 0.002316 0.003571 0.005577 0.009157 0.015709 0.027885 0.054092
2025-06-01 0.002175 0.003408 0.005418 0.009088 0.015991 0.029241 0.058926
2025-06-08 0.001994 0.003167 0.005111 0.008729 0.015697 0.029449 0.061353
2025-06-15 0.001886 0.003039 0.004985 0.008688 0.016004 0.030900 0.066847
2025-06-22 0.001854 0.003039 0.005082 0.009067 0.017186 0.034336 0.077735
2025-06-29 0.001727 0.002863 0.004850 0.008794 0.017000 0.034790 0.081335
2025-07-06 0.001615 0.002708 0.004646 0.008557 0.016865 0.035333 0.085277
2025-07-13 0.001543 0.002619 0.004556 0.008538 0.017192 0.036984 0.092542
2025-07-20 0.001515 0.002607 0.004609 0.008813 0.018201 0.040395 0.105538
2025-07-27 0.001449 0.002523 0.004518 0.008781 0.018506 0.042131 0.114058
2025-08-03 0.001399 0.002463 0.004469 0.008833 0.019012 0.044450 0.124944
2025-08-10 0.001335 0.002374 0.004356 0.008734 0.019148 0.045820 0.133137